Will there be a revolution in Russia: forecast of scientists. Revolution in Russia: how it will be

On June 8, 2016, a scientific expert session was held at the Central House of Journalists on the topic: “Is a revolution awaiting Russia?”, Organized by the Center for Scientific Political Thought and Ideology ( Sulakshina Center).

Within the framework of the round table, which was held in the form of a scientific brainstorming session, an analysis of the dynamics of the development of modern Russia was presented, as well as a medium-term forecast for the next 5-6 years was given, the participants of the event were presented with a scientific monograph "Russia is waiting for a revolution?".

General Director of the Center for Scientific Political Thought and Ideology, Doctor of Political Science, Doctor of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Professor Stepan Sulakshin made a scientific report "The problem of Russia's transition to the post-Putin post-liberal historical stage", putting forward the key thesis: "a peaceful legal" revolution "in Russia, as its decisive renewal, is a formula and a requirement of the time!".

Stepan Sulakshin explained what the transition might be. In his opinion, a completely recognizable and specific type of political regime has developed and is self-reproducing in Russia, which will historically be designated as Putinism, and the country is slipping into a full-scale crisis.

Putinism is extremist liberalism, cosmopolitanism and the destruction of the country's civilizational identity, corruption and privatization, turning the country into a "rogue country". In addition, it is also an archaic raw material export economy, the widespread degradation of almost all the potentials of the country's statehood, the factors of its success and stability, the path to collapse in the geopolitical "graveyard". “The political regime and its practice, the model of the country are not reformable. They can only be replaced,” Stepan Sulakshin is convinced.

The results of studies by the Sulakshin Center showed that the probability of a “color” revolution in Russia is very high, it is being prepared and led, first of all, by the authorities themselves. And if nothing is done, then after several years of degradation, the processes will become explosive. Therefore, today society needs to understand what awaits it and prepare for what will happen. According to the forecasts of the Center, the country is waiting for a revolutionary test. This will happen soon - at the turn of 2020. There is a way out of the current situation, which is capable of breaking the gloomy prospects - this is the new constitution of the country.

The "Center for Scientific Political Thought and Ideology" has developed a draft Constitution of Russia, based on the success and viability of the country. The country needs a healthy real ideological opposition force, that is, a second force, and not a liberal Russian-phobic government and a liberal Russian-phobic "opposition", Stepan Sulakshin is convinced. The Center sees such a new force in the New Type Party.

The analysis shows that the scenario of a revolution in the country is very likely. And Russia can approach it from two sides: on the one hand, there will be power, a fifth column and a geopolitical enemy, and on the other hand, the historical inevitability of turning on the social “immune system” of the country and people.

The question is how radically the country's basic structures should be restructured. It seems to some that the costs of a decisive transition give rise to too significant new threats and risks, to the point that this is a service to those who would like to destroy our country. Others are sure that the programmed scenario of the death of the country is irrevocably realized. And the main share in this scenario is played by the current government - regardless of whether they understand it or not.

Vardan Baghdasaryan- Deputy Head of the Center for Scientific Political Thought and Ideology, Doctor of Historical Sciences, Professor in his scientific report spoke about the “World Revolution. Actual Challenges of the Coming Russian Transformation”.

“Against the background of a series of “color revolutions”, which in reality are not revolutions, but a variant of a new type of war, the revolutions themselves are reduced in public discussion to the technologies of the struggle for power. They are perceived as something unconditionally negative. Maidan and Tahrir are mixed with the Great French and Great October revolutions. In fact, revolution is a historically indispensable condition for development. Development, in contrast to growth, involves a change in the essential characteristics of the system. In this sense, we can talk, for example, about the Christian revolution, through which the transition from the ancient model of life to the medieval one took place. Today the world is in a state of systemic crisis. And the theme of revolution, as a way out of the impasse that has arisen, is again on the current agenda.

Once upon a time, historically, revolutions could be carried out on the scale of the nation-state. Relations with the outside world at that time did not yet play a decisive role, and this was possible. At present, it is becoming more and more problematic to create separate islands of systemic transformation. Therefore, we can talk either about the global systemic transformation, or about creating an alternative world-system. For this, there must be a world-transforming movement, a new International, an International of future humanity.

National liberation revolutions raise the question of the coming to power of national forces instead of the colonial administration and compradors. This is certainly an important task, but insufficient. The revolutionary state included in the system of colonial relations will be re-colonized. In a social revolution, posing a question is a change in the system of the social order of life. But even this is not enough. A system transformed on moral principles with a person who does not correspond to its level will inevitably be reborn, the revolutionary spirit will be defeated by conformism and consumerism. And hence the main question about the revolution, which is not indicated in the traditional classifications - the anthropological revolution, the transformation of man,” Vardan Baghdasaryan believes.

“On the legal aspects of the scientific discourse about the revolution in Russia,” said the head of the legal group of the Center for Scientific Political Thought and Ideology, Ph.D. Alexander Gaganov.

In his speech, he noted that the scientific discussion about the revolution in Russia can and should be carried out within the framework of the current legislation. The speaker drew the attention of those present to the fact that calls for illegal and violent actions, such as terrorist and extremist activities, as well as the planning of such actions, the distribution of roles and other preparations for the commission of crimes, are outside the law.

At the same time, the concept of extremist activity is very broad and includes such acts as public calls for a violent change in the foundations of the constitutional order. The key feature, without which there will be no corpus delicti, is the violence of the proposed changes.

Blogger Alexander Rusin(Amfora) noted in his speech that “the mentality of the Russian people is such that they always wait for initiatives from above, instructions, commands. “You can see better at the top,” the people reason and patiently wait for the tsar and the boyars themselves to begin to change something, Rusin explained. “Of course, the patience of the people is not unlimited, but it is much greater than the patience of the elite, and most importantly, the people cannot organize themselves and make a decision as quickly as the representatives of the elite.”

According to him, two possible scenarios for a change of power in Russia can be distinguished: “a palace and apparatus coup and a revolution following it from above, which will consist in a change in the course, political structure and economic model of the country, and a palace and apparatus coup, then the loss of power by the organizers coup by power struggle or incompetence, then revolution from below.”

At the same time, he stressed that it is not the organizers who are to blame for the coup, if they occur, but mainly those who are in power now. “They had to carry out deep systemic reforms over the past years, which they have not carried out,” the blogger specified the reason for this state of affairs.

The writer and public figure gave his own view on this problem. Alexey Kungurov. “The collapse of Putinism is not a question. The only question is what will follow next, and there are only two options: revolution, that is, the crisis transition of society and the state to a qualitatively new form existence, or degradation, that is, the irreversible destruction existing system without transformation into a new one,” the blogger said, emphasizing that “degradation is what is happening now, and has been for a very long time.” - Degradation is a generally comfortable process. After all, it is much more pleasant to sit back, eating up grandfather's inheritance, than to work up a sweat so that your unlucky granddaughter has something to eat. Degradation is a conscious choice of the elites of the Russian Federation, enthusiastically supported by the masses. The problem is that it is impossible to degrade forever - any degradation ends with decomposition. When grandfather's inheritance is finally eaten away, you will either have to work again or fall apart.

Within the framework of the round table, a presentation of the scientific monograph " Is Russia in for a revolution?».

The publication of the monograph, of course, significant event today: it examines the state of Russia, the medium-term forecast for the development of the country, introduces a formalization of the concept of its model, and also shows that the current liberal model is incompatible with the success and stability of Russia.

According to the authors of the monograph, a change in the model as an alternative to geopolitical disintegration is inevitable. The book discusses the factors, algorithm and possible scenarios for Russia's transition to a post-liberal model of the country. It is convincingly shown that the future model of development and life in Russia is most likely in the form of a moral and just state. The probabilities of various scenarios of the post-liberal transition predicted for the period of 2020 are calculated.

Also with their reports at the scientific expert session were:

Nesmiyan Anatoly Evgenievich- writer, public figure: "Social dynamics of the ideological and power transition based on the experience of the Arab Spring and Ukraine";

Dubovsky Sergey Vasilievich- Institute for System Analysis of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Head of the Laboratory, Ph.D. in Physics and Mathematics: “The neighborhood of 2020 is the time of social and criminal catastrophes”;

Zaderey Valery Alexandrovich- Vice-President of the People's Academy of Sciences, Doctor of Economics: "Control interception instead of revolution";

Efremov Oleg Anatolievich- Associate Professor of the Department of Social Philosophy and Philosophy of History, Faculty of Philosophy, Moscow State University. M.V. Lomonosov, Ph.D.: “Is a “color revolution” possible in the conditions of “theatrical democracy”?”;

Belov Petr Grigorievich- Professor of MAI (National Research University), Doctor of Technical Sciences: "Forecasting the probability of a revolutionary situation by modeling";

Skurlatov Igor Valerievich - Executive Director National Fund for the Promotion of Sustainable Development of Regions: "Prospects for the socio-political development of Russia";

Nikandrov Alexey Vsevolodovich- Associate Professor of the Department of Philosophy of Politics and Law of the Faculty of Philosophy of Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov, Ph.D. in Political Science: "Revolution and political creativity: the concept of H. Arendt";

Zernov Sergey Vladimirovich- Senior Researcher, IPU RAS, Candidate of Social Sciences: "Open self-government as a decisive factor in the management revolution";

Prokhvatilov Vladimir Viktorovich- President of the Academy of Real Politics: "Scenarios for a Regional Maidan and Revolutionary Jihad in Russia";

Skoblikov Evgeny Andreevich- President of the Fund for Financial Initiatives, Ph.D.: “Only the Third Way can lead to a moral state”;

Terekhin Alexey Dmitrievich- public auditor Accounts Chamber RF: “The driving forces of society in the 21st century. A fulcrum for a revolution of the world”;

Khristenko Sergey Vasilievich- Correspondent of the newspaper "Bolshevik Hammer and Sickle": "Revolution? Goals! Resources! Methods!”;

Puntus Valery Ivanovich- MOIP, leader of the seminar, Ph.D.: "An alternative to the revolution in Russia."

As a result of the discussion, a collection of materials will be published and distributed.

Russian political scientists, sociologists and economists vied with each other that a revolution in Russia in 2018 is possible. In particular, experts insist on its implementation if the government does not reduce the degree of indignation that has grown in the public in recent years.

Most of the inhabitants of the state are dissatisfied with the actions of officials, people crave a change of power and hope that only this way will return the former well-being to every family. This article will tell about the future of Russia, as well as about the revolutionary mood of citizens.

A few years ago, in 2014, society was stirred up by a message about an impending one that was ready to overwhelm all of Russia, ruthlessly erasing traces of prosperity and joy from people's lives. At that time, economists, heads of banks, and the government of the Russian Federation itself, argued at every turn that this was a false statement, the crisis would not harm the country, because it could be easily prevented.

Officials categorically refused to accept the fact that hard times had come in the state, and it was time to "put things in order in it." But you can’t fool people: they began to save on many familiar things and even on food. It would seem that the situation that occurred in 2008 is repeating itself, and it knocked many out of the established life track.

In 2014, various sad and gloomy events took place, most Russians were forced to leave the country in a hurry and go abroad in search of better conditions. At the end of 2014-2015, the Russian government finally recognized the “invasion of the crisis” and began to develop large-scale anti-crisis measures, but all of them were practically invalid, because time had already been lost. It was at that moment that people started talking about a possible revolution that would happen in 2018.

When will the revolution start?

Nobody undertakes to predict the exact date of the beginning of revolutionary actions. This is such unexplored territory, completely dependent on the desire of the citizens of the Russian Federation, that even clairvoyants and astrologers refuse to build accurate forecasts.

Some political scientists and sociologists, based on polls and other statistical data, say that the revolution may unfold in 2017, because it is this year that the main unrest of citizens falls.

Others argue that mass rallies, protests and demonstrations will be associated with the upcoming presidential elections. Perhaps people will not be satisfied with the outcome of the race for the presidency, so they will decide on such radical actions.

Scenarios of the revolution in Russia

In order to understand what to prepare for, we propose to consider several scenarios according to which the revolution in the country will possibly develop. All these hypotheses were developed by experienced specialists, so the chances of their implementation are quite high.

Riot

As you can see, mass indignation is already beyond simple conversations. Residents of Russia do not sit peacefully on benches under the entrance - they go out to the squares of their cities with posters and loud slogans.

Surveys of students are conducted in institutes and other educational institutions in order to determine their life position, because today's youth, in most cases, is a participant in rallies, and not always peaceful ones.

Sociologist Natalya Tikhonova believes that mass demonstrations and protests are “still flowers”, active offensives can begin as early as the end of 2017 and last for several months, affecting.

In addition, exercises are organized in different areas law enforcement, where OMON and SOBR fighters are “trained” to stop riots. This means that officials are already preparing for the revolution, although they do not fully believe in it.

A crisis

Leading European economists raise doubts about the revolution in Russia in 2017-2018. They are sure that protests in the country are possible with a probability of 50% and will not be radical. In addition, the 2017-2018 Bloomberg Top Threats ranking also does not mention the revolution.

But this rating speaks of a severe economic crisis that will deal a serious blow to Russia. Experts predict a repeat of the Asian crisis of 1997, caused by the actions of Donald Trump, who unleashed an economic war with China.

Russian economists agree with similar statements. They expect a new round of the global economic crisis, because the economy in the world is subject to cyclical fluctuations and another "jump" in the negative direction can be expected already in 2018-2019.

Revolution in the mind

The political situation in the country can radically change not due to a revolution, but because of a new ideology in the minds of modern citizens. Well-known political scientist Valery Solovey does not support the theory of bloody revolutionary protests.

He is sure that people will stop hating the government and will simply consider it not legitimate. Because of this, it will lose its influence and significance for every Russian.

What do predictors think about the revolution?

Modern people often trust the forecasts of clairvoyants who lived many centuries before the events taking place in our country. Such soothsayers were Vanga, Nostradamus, Wolf Messing and others. If we turn to their records regarding 2018, then all different opinion regarding the immediate future of the country.

Nostradamus claims that Russia should not expect something good and bright during this period, because the time of cataclysms, wars and mass protests is coming. Vanga said that between 2010 and 2020 the Russian Federation will try to regain its former greatness and rise significantly in the ranking of successful countries in the world.

Wolf Messing generally pleases with his predictions - at the beginning of the 21st century, Russia will become a superpower and other countries will be equal to it.

It turns out that for this you need to do quite a bit, and most of all, you need to do nothing at all, which, as they say, truly lies like a balm on the soul of a Russian person, always and forever and ever, amen!

So, we DO NOT NEED Maidan. Go out somewhere and gather more than three - ne treba! There is no need to join some gloomy and cheerful parties, to pay hated fees somewhere.

The whole mechanism for the complete delegitimization of power will be based on simple things, such as civil disobedience, for example. The point is to fight corruption and force do not take, when it is possible to curtail activities altogether and not give anything to anyone (this is an extreme case, the so-called edge). The authorities do not want to do anything, well, but we do not want to pay for all this. Now there is a crisis in the world and the country's budget is bursting at the seams, a very good time to apply the efforts of doing nothing.

First, we need to stop paying Gazprom for gas. Is this our property (advertising) or where? Why, for example, the same Khokhols or the Caucasus can delay payment, but we can't? I think that this monster will be embarrassed to file lawsuits for a thousand rubles a year, and if not, then he will get fucked. Gazprom is a fundamental point. Or shoot ads from television, T-shirts, etc., write other words. Then maybe, after the rain on Thursday, it will be possible to pay half. Maybe I'm saying...

Secondly, all taxes associated with cars and their maintenance ... perfect option, of course, to buy a Tesla, but everyone will not be quickly satisfied. Therefore, at a minimum! Moreover, according to statistics, these taxes are paid less than half. I remember I myself paid in 97g. three hundred dollars for a Ford Taurus 3.0l, then I read in the newspaper - the fund was stolen. Moreover, the road fund was taken away at least as often as the pension fund. So

Thirdly, no one is going to pay you a pension, this is already clear. Therefore, try to extract from the employer the money that he saves on you by paying salary. in an envelope. And set aside these ridiculous amounts.
Of course, private investment is a separate harsh topic, but the main thing here is that this money should not go to the state. There they will get fucked up GUARANTEED.

Bank deposits. Here is a very unpleasant, treacherously unpatriotic moment. Domestic banks cannot be trusted in any way at all, even Sberbank. Therefore, the issue of private investment and the preservation of savings is again a stake. Domestic banks can only be used - in the most direct way, to take loans, the larger both in amount and in the number of various credit institutions, regardless of the conditions offered. There will be no need to give them away, and we don't give a shit about credit history. Soon there will be no credit institutions themselves, there will be post office and cash desks mobile operators, the rest of the nafig did not shit. What are they doing? Further

Fourth, property taxes. Do not pay unequivocally until the payments of hectare and fur storage owners are published

Fifth, tobacco and alcohol. Stop drinking and smoking? Not bad, but I doubt the support of compatriots. This is not the Caucasus for you. So, you have to be interested and drive yourself, moonshine stills now not banned, and even more so for personal consumption. It is more difficult with tobacco, but now, when a pack will cost $5-10, smuggling will also appear. Although I would still recommend snus (google it yourself). You will be healthier.

At sixth. Do not participate in the electoral bacchanalia, do not go anywhere and do not support anyone. Remember - you can not trust anyone! (I can)

Let's complete the list, shall we? Well, the authorities do not want to arrange the 37th, let the 17th rake.

All yours, racially faithful son of his father, unforgettable Lieutenant Schmidt (s)

For a revolution, something must happen - in the minds, the heads of people. The Russians endured senile laws and prohibitions, endured a falling standard of living, endured arbitrariness of the police, endured an absolutely swine and bestial attitude towards themselves, endured requisitions, endured lawlessness. What has changed now? In Russia there will be no "intellectual revolution" of the middle class - this train left in 2012.

Of course, sooner or later something will happen. As in the eternally blazing Latin America and impoverished Africa, an authoritarian regime most often ends in a revolution. Because they can't end up with anything else. Of course, any Putinist can fantasize that everything will end well in Russia. What is the vertical of power, lack of healthy political struggle(and its results - professional politicians), the underdevelopment of the democratic system, the degradation of the legal system - that all this is not an obstacle to a brighter future. We will gently pat them on the head, and affectionately promise them a speedy "Third Rome": - "There knees are prohibited by law as a phenomenon, there are braces everywhere, there the good ones shoot all the bad ones - and everyone is happy."

However, the truth is that in the absence of an established system of transition of power, immediately after the death / assassination of Putin, different groups will start to bite each other's throats. All those beloved Putinists will emerge criminal gangs- will emerge, because they have not disappeared anywhere. New funny and interesting guys will come up: nationalists "zarus"-sy, religious people, monarchists, commies, nazbols, new putinists and so on. Thousands of volunteers who fought in Syria, Ukraine will surface.. penniless, but with a set of deadly weapons skills. All this motley company will fervently start killing each other for the bright future of Russia and the Russian people.

And the revolution that you think about - it will never happen. Her train has left. Alas.

I guess it's currently undesirable. Yes, in general, as a change of power, this is a dubious tool that will bring the country an even deeper and more protracted crisis. Ukraine has already clearly seen enough of "free life". No thanks. Somewhere in another millennium

Answer

Damn, the revolution is cancelled, right? Not desirable, right? Well, if anything, will you warn there if you suddenly decide to carry out a revolution? It is possible to do a newsletter by date, if not difficult?

So a revolution is always bad, it is a crisis of the system. Only here the revolution is not something that you can "want" or "not want"; it disaster, which is difficult to prevent, which is more than one person, one idea or one person.

Discourse about the revolution in Russia, from both sides of the political spectrum, is full of infantile naivety. In Russia, they naively believe that the revolution is like choosing a drink at McDonald's. Some say: - "revolution is needed!", others - "revolution is not needed"; both sides naively believe that a revolution can be started and that it can be controlled.

A revolution cannot be started. She cannot be controlled. And if it so happens that a revolution begins in Russia - and sooner or later it will definitely happen - then no one will ask you whether it is desirable or not.

Answer

Comment

Everything will happen at lightning speed. During the day we will hear about small riots, and in three or four hours the center of the Russian capital will be crowded with thousands of columns of demonstrators. The first shot towards the people will be the suicide of the authorities.

The well-known Russian political strategist, doctor of historical sciences, professor at MGIMO Valery Solovey believes that a revolution will take place in Russia and in his article he described the scenario for the development of events.

At the same time, Valery Solovey prefaces his article with the following words: “I will repeat once again, especially for lovers of political denunciations. Everything that is written in this note is nothing more than a summary of what I have stated in my articles and books over the past few years. Moreover, some of these publications were awarded with awards and prizes.

Here is the text of this publication by Valery Solovyov in full:

“All revolutions are the same, like the happy families of Leo Tolstoy. All of them go through three stages in their development: the moral delegitimization of the current government, mass political protest, and the overthrow of the old regime. Sometimes these stages practically coincide in time, sometimes they are separated from each other by some interval. For Russia, most likely, the second is true.

Moral delegitimization is also a revolution, but a psychological one. It always precedes a political revolution. Before overthrowing the government, people must massively despise and hate it. This is exactly what is happening in Russia now. In the parliamentary elections, the "party of crooks and thieves" suffered a moral and political defeat.

Despite the grandiose machine of administrative pressure and falsifications, it lost more than 10% in comparison with the results of the last elections and did not achieve the goal of a constitutional majority. And this is according to official data. According to unofficial, but quite reliable, "the party of crooks and thieves" lost in all major Russian cities, including Moscow and St. Petersburg. Only the North Caucasus and some other national republics remain its reliable support. (Now, I hope, it is clear why the North Caucasus is heavily subsidized to the detriment of the Russian regions?)

This is not the end, or even the beginning of the end, but the end of the beginning. The structure of power, lovingly nurtured and nurtured for the past 11 years, began to fail and crumble. In a number of regions, the bureaucratic corps played cautiously but consistently against the EdRa.

At the same time, people are not yet ready to take to the streets en masse and defend their right to free choice. The unanimous vote against the "party of swindlers and thieves" does not automatically lead to a collective street protest.

Moreover, after the parliamentary elections, there will be a decline in public activity for some time, which the authorities consider with relief as stabilization. But in reality this will turn out to be nothing more than a temporary pause before a new stage of the revolution. The HOW the presidential elections will be held will give a powerful new impetus to the moral delegitimization of power. But even more important will be the actions of the authorities after the elections.

Contrary to popular belief, revolutions are not necessarily preceded by a deep socio-economic crisis and mass impoverishment. Many revolutions took place against a backdrop of relative social prosperity. Incomparably more important for the political revolution is the so-called "revolution of expectations", that is, the situation when people lived well and hoped to live even better, but their hopes suddenly collapsed. This "revolution of expectations" our fellow citizens will fully experience in next year when it turns out that the authorities are not going to fulfill the pre-election promises, there is no money in the treasury and it is necessary to tighten their belts. It is easy to imagine the reaction of the military and police, who will be able to pay the promised increase in salaries for only a few months.

It is next year that the so-called new “social” (but in fact completely anti-social) laws on education and medicine will come into force, depriving the population of the opportunity to receive quality medical care and education free of charge. In 2012, the fiscal pressure on businesses and the population will sharply increase. Meanwhile, all studies say: increased fiscal pressure from a morally illegitimate government is a direct road to revolution.

Everything starts suddenly. Revolutions always start unexpectedly even for the revolutionaries themselves, the day and hour of none of them was predicted. By no means an ordinary mind of his era, Ulyanov-Lenin wrote bitterly in January 1917 that his generation would not live to see the revolution in Russia, perhaps children would see it.

An insignificant occasion will give impetus to a grandiose dynamic. Anything can serve as this reason: a street picket, a small rally, a spontaneous blocking of the road, the funeral of another victim of ethnic crime, a car hitting a woman with a child with a flashing light (If the straw is dry, sooner or later it will light up). And suddenly - and this is always "suddenly" - a small group of people will begin to turn into a crowd of many thousands, which will move into the city center, sweeping away the flimsy police cordons along the way.

Everything will happen at lightning speed. In the afternoon we will hear about small riots, and in three or four hours the center of the Russian capital will be crowded with thousands of columns of demonstrators, who will be joined by riot police. This is how a nation is born.

And what about the authorities, is it really not going to resist? Will try, of course. It is unlikely, however, that people who are afraid of whistling at a concert will muster the courage to give the order to open fire on civilians. Unless they really want to repeat the fate of Ceausescu and Gaddafi.

And it is absolutely incredible that SUCH orders were carried out. Those who give them away can hope to escape to their billions, accumulated by overwork in the field of serving the Motherland, but where do the executors of criminal orders flee? And crimes against humanity, as you know, have no statute of limitations and do not deserve indulgence.

The first shot towards the people will be the suicide of the authorities. Foreseeing its own future, it does and will do everything to delay its own end. However, the notorious Russian “tightening the screws” will only lead to the breakdown of the rusty thread and the final destruction of the power structure. Violence emanating from a morally illegitimate regime does not cause fear and submission, but an outburst of indignation and irresistible desire the masses to overthrow him—such is the axiom of revolutions.

This, by the way, is the answer to those who associate the revolution with mass violence and bloodshed. Is there an idea for which those in power are willing to die? Or will there be fanatics willing to die for their offshore accounts?

Those who are obsessed with profit inevitably lose to people driven by the desire for freedom and justice. All revolutions in European countries over the past 20 years have been peaceful and bloodless, and Russia will not be an exception. Even in Romania, the overthrow of the Ceausescu regime was accompanied by only local and short-term violence.

Peaceful revolutions happen very quickly. The question of power in Russia will be resolved as rapidly as in 1917 and 1991 - in three or four days ... "

Tags: Russia, Politics, revolution